housing supply Archives - REM https://realestatemagazine.ca/tag/housing-supply/ Canada’s premier magazine for real estate professionals. Mon, 27 Oct 2025 17:28:16 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.8.3 https://realestatemagazine.ca/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/cropped-REM-Fav-32x32.png housing supply Archives - REM https://realestatemagazine.ca/tag/housing-supply/ 32 32 Ontario housing sector presents united front on supply, affordability https://realestatemagazine.ca/ontario-housing-sector-presents-united-front-on-supply-affordability/ https://realestatemagazine.ca/ontario-housing-sector-presents-united-front-on-supply-affordability/#respond Tue, 28 Oct 2025 09:03:17 +0000 https://realestatemagazine.ca/?p=40791 With the federal budget around the corner, builders, Realtors, business groups, trade associations, not-for-profit organizations and rental providers are demanding action to fix the housing crisis

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The following is a joint statement released on Oct. 27 by members of Ontario’s housing sector, including the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) and Ontario Real Estate Association (OREA).

Ontario is facing a housing emergency. Projects are stalling, builders are cancelling developments and families and individuals are being priced out of the market.

As the provincial and federal governments prepare to release their fall economic statement and budget respectively, our message is urgent: bold, coordinated action is needed to boost housing construction, lower costs and bring affordability back within reach for residents.

Housing is more than just shelter; it’s the foundation of our economy and the heart of our communities. Today, Ontario’s housing sector, from builders, Realtors, business groups, trade associations, not-for-profit organizations and rental providers, speaks with one clear voice. Together with governments at all levels, we must move swiftly to unlock housing supply, cut costs, and restore affordability by accelerating ownership and rental housing delivery.

We acknowledge the positive work done so far by the federal, provincial and municipal governments regarding policy developments, zoning reform and funding programs to encourage more housing construction, including the most recent provincial housing bill, Fighting Delays, Building Faster Act, 2025, which signals the government’s intention to take further practical steps in cutting red tape, lowering construction costs and restoring confidence and investment in the rental housing market by speeding up slow resolution processes to adjudicate landlord and tenant disputes. Other efforts include the Housing Accelerator Fund, the Apartment Construction Loan Program, Build Canada Homes, the Building Ontario Fund, the Municipal Housing Infrastructure Program, reform to end exclusionary zoning and allow as-of-right construction of multi-plexes on single lots and the Building Faster Fund, among other projects. However, more action is still needed.

We also recognize that potential disruptions impacting the housing ecosystem that are outside the direct control of governments and industry, such as trade wars, geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty, need to be considered as we navigate an uncertain environment at the macro level. 

Housing remains the backbone of Canada’s economy. It supports over 1.2 million jobs and contributes more than $143 billion in economic activity yearly to Canada’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP). However, rising costs, difficult regulatory environments, economic uncertainty and constrained supply have slowed new housing starts and home purchases, putting tens of thousands of skilled trade jobs at risk. This will impact spin-off economic activity in related sectors and push both home ownership and rental housing further out of reach for many residents.

To meet Ontario and Canada’s housing challenge, a united focus on delivery is required. By reducing construction costs, attracting investments and aligning tax policy, zoning and approval systems, governments at all levels can restore confidence, protect jobs and support innovation at the speed and scale Canadians urgently need.

 

Policy priorities for immediate action

 

To restore affordability and confidence in the housing market, we are calling on municipal, provincial and federal governments to work collaboratively with the housing sector by adopting the following measures:

1. Position and profile housing as an economic driver: To ensure housing policy is economic policy, recognize housing construction and trade as a core driver of employment and GDP, adopt a framework to preserve the tremendous job creation that the housing industry generates, and acknowledge that housing unaffordability is also affecting our overall economic productivity, especially in the Greater Toronto Hamilton Area (GTHA).

2. Modernize outdated tax rules: Extend the GST/HST exemption on new homes up to $1.5 million for homebuyers, reflecting current market realities, particularly in major urban centres, and encouraging new construction.

3. Cut costs for homebuyers: Align cost recovery with actual service delivery and housing goals to reduce barriers to construction and costs to homebuyers. Municipalities and provinces need to collaborate with industry to modernize the fee structure applied to new housing, which is currently inflating housing costs and constraining new supply.

4. Build faster through innovation in parallel to traditional building: Support the advent, inclusion and expansion of modern construction methods – including panelized systems, modular building, robotics and other emerging technologies that embrace productivity, reduce costs and construction time, and enable homebuilding at scale. These need to be supported by an innovation policy framework created in partnership with the industry that provides incentives for early adopters and customers of new solutions, as well as investments in Canadian companies providing new solutions. Scaling up pioneering methods should be done in addition to supporting the ongoing innovation and productivity of traditional construction techniques.

5. Free up land and end exclusionary zoning: Act decisively to end outdated zoning restrictions to permit gentle density and a wider mix of housing types, especially missing-middle and multi-unit dwellings in more communities.

6. Incentivize private capital: Encourage programs that incentivize private capital, both investment and philanthropic, for both rental and ownership housing to accelerate market and non-market construction. This should include reintroducing the Multiple Unit Residential Building (MURBS) tax incentive.

The housing sector stands ready to partner with every level of government. Together, we can reignite momentum, rebuild confidence, restore affordability through partnership, innovation and investment, and deliver the homes our communities urgently need.

Signed:

John DiMichele, CEO, Toronto Regional Real Estate Board

Luigi Favaro, CEO, Ontario Real Estate Association

Ene Underwood, CEO, Habitat for Humanity GTA

Michael Brooks, CEO, Real Property Association of Canada

George Carras, CEO, R-LABS Canada

Jonathan Nusbaum, CEO, Terra Modular

Marlon Bray, executive vice president, Clark Construction Management

Tony Irwin, president and CEO, Federation of Rental-housing Providers of Ontario/Rental Housing Canada

Daryl Chong, president and CEO, Greater Toronto Apartment Association

Dave Wilkes, president and CEO, Building Industry and Land Development Association

Kathy Hogeveen, chief of operations, Assembly Corp.

Jude Tersigni, vice president of planning and development, Menkes Developments

Richard Lyall, president, Residential Construction Council of Ontario

Roselle Martino, executive vice president, policy and strategic affairs, Toronto Region Board of Trade

Frank Cairo, co-founder and CEO, Caivan Communities

Nhung Nguyen, CEO, Horizon Legacy

 

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Presale market stalled: What’s ahead for Metro Vancouver’s new-build housing? https://realestatemagazine.ca/presale-market-stalled-whats-ahead-for-metro-vancouvers-new-build-housing/ https://realestatemagazine.ca/presale-market-stalled-whats-ahead-for-metro-vancouvers-new-build-housing/#respond Fri, 22 Aug 2025 08:06:49 +0000 https://realestatemagazine.ca/?p=39682 Metro Vancouver’s presale housing market is slowing dramatically, with new challenges emerging from costs, policies, and shifting buyer demand that could reshape the years ahead

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After years of outsized demand, Metro Vancouver’s presale housing market has slowed to a pace not seen in over a decade.

According to real estate sales and marketing company MLA Canada, only 35 projects launched in the past year — over 40 per cent below the five-year average — and fewer than 400 presale units sold, marking an 85 per cent decline from historical benchmarks.

For Barrett Sprowson, senior vice president, residential at Peterson Real Estate, the numbers match what he’s seeing on the ground.

“I’ve said the market is stagnant (but) that was very diplomatically understated. If I were a little more honest, I’d say it’s kind of anemic and as flat as I’ve ever seen it.”

 

How we got here

 

Sprowson describes the current climate as the result of a long buildup of policy and economic shifts.

“It’s the classic case of the frog in the water (slowly) getting boiled. For the longest time, the market bailed us out on many of the regulations, fees and taxes various governments have layered into the equation,” Sprowson notes.

But now, he says the bailout has stopped, and the rise of interest rates has compounded the issue, with, “The typical everyday buyer moving to the sidelines.”

And while buyers hesitate, supply from earlier cycles is now hitting the market.

“We’re starting to see a lot of the delivery and completions of projects that started in that really robust cycle coming out of the pandemic. That’s causing oversupplied inventory in the current market.”

In other words, today’s glut will work its way through, but the resulting slowdown in new project launches means supply shortages — and price spikes — could follow in a few years.

 

The role of government intervention

 

One thing Sprowson highlights is the “perfect storm” of fees, taxes and levies layered on new development.

He notes that about 35-40 per cent of a new home’s cost is some type of fee or levy that the end user absorbs. “It’s got to a point where the buyer can’t accommodate the fees and taxes. And on top of that, we charge GST and property transfer tax. It’s tax on top of tax.”

Sprowson feels government intervention to reduce these costs is the biggest thing that could make a difference.

The British Columbia government recently announced changes to how Development Cost Charges (DCCs) are collected, allowing delayed payment schedules. But while Sprowson welcomes the move, he says it doesn’t address the fundamental issue.

“It’s helpful. It’s a good strategy and we’re all appreciative of governments listening … But like my friend Michael Ferreira at Anthem Properties said recently, ‘It’s like they’re nibbling around the edges.’ It’s not moving the bigger levers I think should be looked at.”

Without significant cost relief, he warns, many projects simply won’t start. “We essentially cannot deliver homes at a price that the market can pay or will absorb.”

 

What this means for Realtors

 

For Realtors working to move presale inventory, Sprowson says success comes back to the fundamentals.

“Gone are the days when you overprice a home to get a listing and the market takes care of it. Accurate, aggressive pricing will be in your clients’ best interests.”

Beyond pricing, execution matters. Sprowson says the best Realtors he’s worked with have a specific plan for every home, not a blanket approach. And they’re responsive.

“If you’re a listing agent, you’ve got to be on your showings … It’s not rocket science. Give good service, be efficient, be effective. Follow up. Get back to basics.”

 

What to watch for this fall

 

Looking ahead to the fall presale market, Sprowson doesn’t expect a dramatic change unless a few big things shift.

For one, the federal government would have to figure out things with the U.S. to remove the uncertainty impacting various market factors.

The second thing would be some kind of interest rate relief, while the third would be a significant move by the different governments on DCCs and other fees, regulations and taxes attached to development.

If even a couple of these things occur, he says, “Then I think things really loosen up … Ever the optimist I am, I believe something will shake loose, hopefully in favor of the buyer and maintaining supply.”

For now, developers like Peterson are staying active with a mix of projects across rental and presale. The company is leasing up its Revolve purpose-built rental in East Vancouver, preparing to complete another nearby project early next year, and breaking ground on a significant West Side community.

As for the broader presale market, Sprowson points to resale data as the leading indicator of recovery. “If the resale market starts pushing up towards the 10-year sales averages, as soon as people start missing out on homes and there’s multiple offers, then we’ll start seeing it.”

Until then, Metro Vancouver’s presale market looks set to remain in a holding pattern, waiting for buyers to return, government to adjust its levers or both.

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The Realtor’s guide to Canada’s sustainable housing future https://realestatemagazine.ca/the-realtors-guide-to-canadas-sustainable-housing-future/ https://realestatemagazine.ca/the-realtors-guide-to-canadas-sustainable-housing-future/#respond Thu, 03 Jul 2025 09:01:36 +0000 https://realestatemagazine.ca/?p=38939 Realtors must understand sustainable housing – it shapes client expectations, drives policy, and is key to building accessible, resilient communities amid Canada’s housing shift

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As Canada continues to grapple with housing challenges, real estate professionals and housing providers are increasingly being drawn into conversations about how we build, where we build, and for whom, working to find housing that is financially more accessible to meet demand as quickly as possible. 

Terms like “purpose-built rentals,” “multi-family homes,” and “sustainable development” are more than just industry buzz. They represent a shift in housing strategy that directly impacts the decisions Realtors make and the advice they give their clients. For Canadian Realtors, understanding these concepts is crucial to staying relevant and responding effectively to evolving market needs.

If you’re a Realtor, you’re likely already fielding questions from buyers and renters about affordability and the future of housing. So, what do these concepts mean for your business, and how can you apply this knowledge to serve your clients better?

 

What defines sustainable policy?

 

“Sustainable” is a term we hear often, especially when it comes to economic and environmental issues, ranging from global to local levels. But what exactly does sustainability mean for new homes?

Sustainable development focuses on three main pillars: environmental, social, and governance (commonly referred to as ESG for short). These commitments address important issues that affect both the environment and society. 

Policy in development and urban planning is essential in helping manage environmental impact, including waste management and consumption. The social aspect looks at quality of life for clients and employees alike, while the governance pillar focuses on everything from data protection to resident and investor rights. 

In April 2024, the Government of Canada introduced the “Solving the Housing Crisis: Canada’s Housing Plan,” aiming to unlock millions of new affordable homes by 2031. This comprehensive strategy focuses on accelerating housing construction and promoting sustainable development across the country.

These ESG policies, in combination with each other, act as overarching guidelines for design implementations, ensuring new developments meet the demands of the modern market. 

 

Key pillars of sustainable residential development in practice

 

Adaptive reuse: Enhancing efficiency and reducing waste

 

Another area of interest is adaptive reuse, where existing structures, such as schools or churches, are converted into housing. This form of development preserves community character, reduces construction waste, and expedites the building process compared to starting from scratch. Realtors who understand how adaptive reuse works have a unique edge when working with investor or developer clients.  

These types of buildings have a unique charm that many potential buyers or renters are looking for. Similarly, infill housing (densifying underused lots within urban or suburban areas) is gaining momentum in places like Ottawa, Calgary, and Hamilton.

 

Revitalizing neighbourhoods and strengthening communities

 

Housing shortages are a pressing concern in many of Canada’s urban centers, contributing to rising rental and purchase prices nationwide. This means paying close attention to where these infill projects are happening. These projects often bring new listings in highly desirable neighbourhoods, and by staying on top of local planning updates, you can identify these growth pockets early and help both buyer clients and investors get ahead of future demand. You can also guide clients looking for walkable communities toward mixed-use developments that combine housing with amenities such as grocery stores, pharmacies, restaurants, and cafes, as these features are an increasingly important factor that clients are seeking. 

Just look at the recent popularity of the concept of the “15-minute city,” where renters and buyers are seeking homes in places where they can easily walk or bike. 

 

Championing purpose-built rentals and future-forward development 

 

In 2024, CMHC reported that Canada’s purpose-built rental market experienced its highest annual supply growth in over three decades, increasing by 4.1%. This surge was particularly notable in Montréal and Calgary, which contributed significantly to the national increase. While the market won’t shift completely overnight, these types of projects are steadily increasing in numbers, and they represent significant opportunities. 

Start by building relationships with developers focused on these builds so you can be among the first to market new inventory to renters or buyers. Educate your clients about the benefits of professionally managed, purpose-built rentals, including modern amenities and long-term rental security. By positioning yourself as a resource on these trends and connecting clients to emerging developments, you not only add value to the client experience but also expand your own reach in a fast-evolving market.

 

How does this impact me and my clients? 

 

Clients expect their Realtor or leasing agent to be more than a transaction facilitator. They’re looking for someone who can help them understand not just what’s available, but why certain properties or neighbourhoods might be better aligned with their goals. That means that being informed about sustainable housing strategies sets you apart. Attending municipal planning meetings, staying in touch with local builders, or simply keeping tabs on ESG initiatives in your area can go a long way in setting yourself apart. Even just subscribing to local development newsletters is a great way to stay up to date.

While economic uncertainty has certainly slowed some development, it has also sharpened the focus on sustainable planning. Realtors who recognize that sustainability isn’t a passing trend but an actual structural change in how communities grow will be better prepared to thrive in the evolving Canadian housing market. 

 

Actionable steps for Realtors

  • Subscribe to local municipal newsletters to stay informed about new developments and housing policies.
  • Engage with developers specializing in purpose-built rentals to gain early access to upcoming projects.
  • Attend local planning meetings to understand zoning changes and infill project opportunities.
  • Educate clients on the benefits of sustainable and ESG-compliant housing options.
  • Utilize tools like CMHC’s Housing Market Information Portal to analyze regional housing trends and data.
  • Promote walkable, mixed-use communities that align with the “15-minute city” concept to clients seeking convenience and sustainability.

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OPINION: Canada’s housing crisis is really an infrastructure crisis https://realestatemagazine.ca/opinion-canadas-housing-crisis-is-really-an-infrastructure-crisis/ https://realestatemagazine.ca/opinion-canadas-housing-crisis-is-really-an-infrastructure-crisis/#respond Tue, 24 Jun 2025 09:01:34 +0000 https://realestatemagazine.ca/?p=38796 We don’t have a housing crisis—we have a planning crisis. Until infrastructure and policy catch up, no amount of money will fix this

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We must say it louder for the people in the back: Canada is not in a housing crisis. We are in an infrastructure and policy crisis. 

Until we start solving the right problems, all the money, headlines, and government promises in the world won’t get us anywhere near sustainable growth.

 

Getting to the root cause

 

Let’s start by unpacking the narrative. Across every level of government, housing has become the political scapegoat of choice. But blaming the housing “shortage” is like blaming a doctor shortage for long ER wait times—it sounds intuitive, but it’s fundamentally misleading. In health care, we don’t actually lack physicians; we lack compensation structures that reward patient throughput. 

Under Ontario’s Academic Funding Plan, for example, many doctors receive a salary rather than fee-for-service billing. There’s no financial incentive to increase volume. So waitlists grow, not for lack of supply, but for lack of systemic efficiency.

Sound familiar?

In real estate, we face the same false premise. There’s no actual shortage of land, materials, or interest from developers. 

What we lack is coordinated infrastructure, aligned policy, and a functional approval process. 

 

Kingston: A case study for collaboration

 

Take Kingston, Ont. as a case in point. The city already has the land capacity to meet growth projections with medium- and high-density housing. But the Provincial Policy Statement (PPS) is pushing expansion beyond the urban boundary anyway, forcing new infrastructure spending in areas that don’t need it. That’s not growth. That’s sprawl.

Even worse, when we do invest in infrastructure, we often do it in silos. Picture going to work and discovering that your entire organization has been building toward different goals, with different blueprints, timelines, and metrics. That’s how cities operate when housing policy is separated from transportation, utilities, schools, and health care planning. Everyone’s working hard, but no one’s working together.

That’s why it was so refreshing to see the City of Kingston take a different approach: aligning its updated Official Plan with the Integrated Transportation and Mobility Master Plan and utility infrastructure strategy. 

This is what real master planning should look like. For too long, “master-planned communities” have been a marketing slogan, not a reality. If you don’t believe me, go look at school bus routes. Many of our new subdivisions were built without long-term demographic logic. They fill quickly with young families and then age out, leaving brand-new schools half empty a decade later.

We should be building communities people can live in across every life stage—from first-time buyers to retirees—all in the same postal code. Instead, we’re spending more public dollars than ever, producing fewer homes, and pointing fingers at the wrong culprits.

 

“We need carrots, not sticks”

 

The truth? Government doesn’t need to get back into construction. It needs to get back into coordination. Growth can and should pay for growth. New tax revenue can fund social and affordable housing—if we allow development to happen on time, on budget, and in alignment with local infrastructure needs. But that only works if we stop penalizing builders with outdated fees and start incentivizing them to build efficiently.

The Housing Accelerator Fund made a great headline, but very few municipalities will see the money. Why? Because the targets tied to that funding are unrealistic. We need carrots, not sticks. Instead of dangling unreachable housing starts, why not eliminate development charges and redirect federal dollars toward infrastructure expansion? Why not reform the New Home Warranty Act to encourage emerging builders with completion-based incentives instead of regulatory gatekeeping?

The system isn’t broken. We’ve just stopped reading the rulebook—if we ever had one to begin with. Fixing this isn’t about grand reinventions. It’s about understanding how all the moving pieces fit together, and then holding people accountable for playing their part.

Let’s stop chasing housing headlines. And start solving infrastructure problems.

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Systemic changes “essential” to ramp up Canada’s homebuilding: CMHC economist https://realestatemagazine.ca/systemic-changes-essential-to-ramp-up-canadas-homebuilding-cmhc-economist/ https://realestatemagazine.ca/systemic-changes-essential-to-ramp-up-canadas-homebuilding-cmhc-economist/#respond Fri, 20 Jun 2025 09:01:42 +0000 https://realestatemagazine.ca/?p=38764 Doubling Canada’s housing pace demands innovation, investment, a modern workforce, reduced regulation, and systemic reform—without it, affordability will remain out of reach

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Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.’s new estimates on Canada’s housing supply show that a return to 2019 housing affordability levels is possible – but getting there will require a major homebuilding overhaul.

According to CMHC, between 430,000 and 480,000 new housing units will need to be built annually over the next decade to restore affordability. This is an approximate doubling of the current pace of home construction in Canada. 

“Doubling the pace of housing construction in Canada is achievable, but not without a significantly larger and modernized workforce, more private investment, less regulation, fewer delays, and lower development costs,” said Aled ab Iorwerth, deputy chief economist for CMHC. 

“It will also require significant innovation in construction technology and growth in labour productivity.”

In a recent report, TD Bank said 400,000 new units per year may be enough to tackle the housing shortage. However, TD economist Rishi Sondhi warned that construction sector productivity and a retiring workforce are “structural challenges that will need to be overcome.” 

 

Which regions have the biggest supply shortfalls?

 

By province, the most significant housing supply gaps are in Ontario and Nova Scotia, which saw some of the fastest rising housing costs due to the pandemic, and British Columbia, said CMHC.

“By estimating housing supply gaps across Canada, our goal is to ensure policymakers from all orders of government, as well as the private sector, understand the scale of the challenge,” said Aled ab Iorwerth. “Systemic changes are essential if we are to double the pace of homebuilding in Canada.”

 

Supply gaps by city

 

  • According to estimates, Montréal faces the largest housing supply gap of the large Census Metropolitan Areas (CMAs). Current trends show “housing affordability challenges will become much more acute if housing supply is not significantly increased,” said CMHC. 

 

  • In Toronto, it’s estimated a 70-per-cent increase in homebuilding over the next decade would help to improve affordability issues. Despite increased rental construction in recent years, the region is lacking homeownership options that match local incomes.

 

  • In Vancouver, it is estimated 7,000 additional homes are needed annually above the “business-as-usual” scenario, an increase of 29 per cent. In 2023, more than 33,000 housing starts were recorded in this area. “This continued level of construction would help the region’s longstanding affordability issues for both homeowners and renters,” reads the report.

 

  • Calgary, which has seen record levels of home construction for three consecutive years, is estimated to need 45 per cent more new homes annually above today’s levels. “This would help counter post-pandemic affordability challenges for both the homeownership and rental markets,” reads the report.

 

  • Ottawa-Gatineau is estimated to have the second-largest housing supply gap of Canada’s large CMAs. The region saw increased homebuilding from 2021 through 2023, but since the pandemic, new supply has not kept pace with increased housing demand.

 

  • In Edmonton, no additional supply is required beyond what is currently projected, as sufficient market housing is expected to be built in the region to maintain affordability by 2035. 

 

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Do realtors hold a key to reshaping Canada’s housing sector? There are innovative solutions to explore https://realestatemagazine.ca/do-realtors-hold-a-key-to-reshaping-canadas-housing-sector-there-are-innovative-solutions-to-explore/ https://realestatemagazine.ca/do-realtors-hold-a-key-to-reshaping-canadas-housing-sector-there-are-innovative-solutions-to-explore/#respond Fri, 26 Apr 2024 04:03:11 +0000 https://realestatemagazine.ca/?p=30555 Forward-thinking realtors are in a position to be true innovators in Canada’s housing market, with their strong networks, industry expertise and deep relationships

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Canada’s housing supply is at a breaking point, and it’s time for an innovator’s mindset to overcome the barriers hindering progress. The business-as-usual approach is no longer working.

Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) has stated that Canada needs to build 5.11 million new homes between 2022 and 2030 to restore affordability to the market. To put that into perspective, Canada has never built more than two million homes in any eight-year period.

There has been a lot of discussion about the bottlenecks preventing our country from meeting the housing supply challenge — but the biggest barrier is how we’re thinking about the problem. 

 

The ways of our past cannot get us to the future we need

 

To revolutionize the real estate industry, we must rethink legacy approaches and embrace innovation, and it needs to happen at every level of the ecosystem from government, industry players, realtors and consumers. We also cannot innovate in silos — true change can only come when all stakeholders are on board. And while it’s true that we all have a role to play, we need visionary leaders to lead the charge. 

These leaders must be willing to challenge the conventional ways of doing things. We need game-changing entrepreneurs, human-centric realtors, innovative corporations and early adopter customers to unlock new opportunities and drive industry-wide transformation. 

The 2024 Industry Innovation Agenda lays out a roadmap for exactly that kind of vision, offering clear objectives and actionable strategies in five key areas: leadership and institutions, affordability and supply, climate resiliency and low carbon, optimization and capital, and labour and supporting infrastructure. It’s a call to action for industry players to join forces and convert ideas into action.

 

An innovative approach to office building conversions

 

One opportunity for innovation is in the commercial real estate sector. By asking the right question — how can we convert underutilized office buildings into housing units? — we can begin to unpack solutions.

The challenge, in this case, is that many office buildings are not ideal for residential conversions because their floor plates create suboptimal layouts. In the past, we would have simply said it couldn’t be done. A more innovative approach, though, is to look at the broader ecosystem for solutions.

Imagine a scenario where office floors are transformed into schools, allowing parents to drop off their children and then head to their workplaces on different floors. By repurposing office buildings into multipurpose spaces and combining essential amenities such as schools, medical facilities and community centres with residential units, we not only create new housing opportunities but also reduce commutes and enhance the overall quality of life in our communities.

 

Modular housing and ADUs: A supply solution that can go beyond housing

 

Additionally, innovative technologies such as modular housing and mass timber can play a pivotal role in tackling the housing supply challenge. The key to unlocking the potential of these innovations lies in understanding what’s possible and then choosing to embrace innovative solutions.

For example, accessory dwelling units (ADUs), which allow two separate units within a single property, such as a laneway or garden suite, are a prime example of how innovative policies can support housing solutions. Modular housing offers great promise as a solution to the housing crisis. Realtors, with their professional understanding of real estate and housing issues, entrepreneurial thinking and extensive networks, have a great opportunity — and perhaps even a responsibility — to drive this kind of innovation. 

Consider this situation: a family of four resides in a detached home in the suburbs while their widowed parent or grandparent lives in a separate home in the city. The family provides daily care, support and transportation to medical appointments. A realtor who understands the needs of families such as this, along with the ADU regulations and market capabilities of modular housing, can help explain how adding an ADU to the senior parent/grandparent’s home creates an opportunity for the family of four to sell their home, move into the primary dwelling unit where the parent/grandparent lives and solve their own housing needs.

This solution goes beyond housing. A senior who may have struggled with loneliness now has loved ones nearby, countless commutes are eliminated, carbon emissions are reduced and a family has strengthened their financial position and family ties through a common-sense housing decision. 

 

Forward-thinking realtors are in a position to be true innovators in Canada’s housing market. Realtors are equipped with strong networks, industry expertise and deep relationships. They hold an important key to helping reshape the future of Canada’s housing sector through innovative thinking and strategic collaboration. 

 

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How natural hazard and its catastrophic loss impact housing affordability, supply and demand https://realestatemagazine.ca/how-natural-hazard-and-its-catastrophic-loss-impact-housing-affordability-supply-and-demand/ https://realestatemagazine.ca/how-natural-hazard-and-its-catastrophic-loss-impact-housing-affordability-supply-and-demand/#respond Tue, 05 Mar 2024 05:03:02 +0000 https://realestatemagazine.ca/?p=29171 Large-scale disasters can severely affect the housing market, from demand shifts to supply strains, and cause ripple effects and crucial need for resiliency investment

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Catastrophic loss events have been increasing in frequency, severity and time-adjusted cost. When large-scale catastrophic loss events result in housing unit loss, there’s an increase in demand for housing from displaced families within local and adjacent marketplaces.

The allocation of resources to build back, repair or replace lost housing units draws market capacity away from building new units. Consequently, measurable impacts on housing supply result from catastrophic housing losses. 

 

Defining natural hazard 

 

A natural hazard is an extreme event that occurs naturally and causes harm to humans. It can include infrastructure, amenities and housing. In Canada, flooding has been the source of the most expensive housing losses recorded, although impacts from other natural hazards such as wildfires, wind, heat waves, drought and hail are on the rise.

In the future, sea level rise and storm surge, melting permafrost and seismic hazard are expected to increasingly impact catastrophic housing loss in Canada. Catastrophic losses are typically measured in insurable losses resulting from natural hazards. Societal costs such as emergency management and response and knock-on health impacts to people and society are not typically measured in these reported figures.

 

Impact on people

 

Individual homeowners who are impacted by catastrophic loss events have the most to lose. In Canada, people have much of their personal wealth contained within their homes.

According to the CMHC, “High levels of debt do most damage when a significantly negative external economic event happens … It becomes difficult, if not impossible, for many mortgage holders to service their debt.”

In addition to property value impacts, the Red Cross estimates the cost of displacement for a typical family is $60,000 for the uninsured cost* in the form of savings or debt for disaster recovery and cost of living while displaced. 

According to Treading Water**, a pan-Canadian study on the effects of flooding on property values, property is devalued from catastrophic flood events. This results in affected homeowners losing equity and market growth, which reduces the portability of that wealth to lower-risk locations.

The relative buying power of people affected by natural hazards is substantially reduced, which in turn reduces their capacity to financially recover and relocate.  

Understandably, the experience of managing catastrophic loss results in increased stress, emotional loss and, in many cases, PTSD. While these costs to people are substantial, they are not reported in the valuation of insurable losses from catastrophic events.  

 

Managing supply with drag from catastrophic losses 

 

There are three stages of catastrophic loss of housing that impact supply: point of incident, housing displaced people and return.

Canadian events: Point of incident, displaced, return

 

Glace Bay, N.S.
300 homes damaged, 100 permanently relocated, said to result in a long-term housing shortage

Fort McMurray, Alta.
2,400 buildings destroyed, 500 damaged. As of May 2018 (2 years post-fire), 20% of homes destroyed have been rebuilt

Merritt, B.C.
400 homes destroyed, 52 homes permanently lost, 600 residents unable to return to community

 

Point of incident

 

The point of incident marks the time when a home becomes uninhabitable, requiring repair or reconstruction. The loss of this unit will remain until the point of return, which can be two years and, in some cases, longer. The impact on supply is -1 unit. As is frequently the case, not all units are rebuilt.

In the case of Merritt, British Columbia, for example, 13 per cent of houses were not rebuilt for a variety of reasons, including the destruction of the lot from river flows. Similarly, in Fort McMurray, Alberta, some houses were not rebuilt due to land toxicity. On Cape Breton Island, Nova Scotia, some coastal lots were retired to conservation lands, as the emerging sea level and storm surge risk are deemed too high to warrant reinvestment.

 

Housing displaced people

 

Housing displaced people is an important part of catastrophic loss response. When people flee catastrophic loss, they add to market housing demand. Individuals will seek housing within their network, including family and friends, and some will find temporary housing until they get a more stable interim solution.

This +1 demand unit will put pressure on housing in adjacent and broad markets until the resident returns. And, it’s very likely to create pricing pressure as supply is strained against surging demand.

 

Return

 

The return period is measured from the time of displacement to the time of return. In terms of housing supply, the return period offers a -1 unit drag on new build capacity as both materials and labour are allocated to building back damaged housing.

The build-back resource allocation will typically draw resources from the new build marketplace to prioritize rebuilding. This loss of market housing construction resources represents a permanent time-value loss to new housing creation. The larger the catastrophic losses in any marketplace, the greater the drag on creating new housing units.

 

Lower-cost investment in resiliency to save housing from catastrophic loss: Key to market stability and housing supply

 

There’s an amplifying impact on the supply and demand gap from catastrophic losses which exacerbate pricing and availability pressures in local marketplaces. This impact lasts from the point of displacement to the point of return, which can be a two-year timeframe and sometimes longer. 

The supply and demand drag created by catastrophic loss units in the Canadian housing supply will continue to impact people, governments and housing market stability. Direct site-level property devaluation after catastrophic loss can stigmatize communities and have lasting local real estate market impacts which affect the housing supply chain, from lenders to homeowners.

With ambitious goals to create new housing, the lower-cost investment in resiliency to preserve housing from catastrophic loss is an important perspective for the achievement of Canada’s market stability and housing supply. Disruption to new build supply capacity and amplification of housing insecurity for Canadians who experience catastrophic loss exemplify the importance of residential resiliency investment. 

 

* Red Cross 2015-2022 examination of flood response over seven years: CatIQ 2023

** Bakos K., Feltmate B., Chopik C., Evans C., 2022

 

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Canadian Home Builders’ Association unveils strategy to build 5.8 million homes and address housing crisis https://realestatemagazine.ca/canadian-home-builders-association-unveils-strategy-to-build-5-8-million-homes-and-address-housing-crisis/ https://realestatemagazine.ca/canadian-home-builders-association-unveils-strategy-to-build-5-8-million-homes-and-address-housing-crisis/#respond Fri, 23 Feb 2024 05:02:25 +0000 https://realestatemagazine.ca/?p=28890 It emphasizes a full approach for more production that includes first-time-buyer-friendly financial and policy changes, labour shortage solutions and a transition to factory-built construction

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Recently, the Canadian Home Builders’ Association (CHBA) released a strategy outlining the changes and supports needed to allow 5.8 million homes to be built over the next decade — the goal being to improve housing affordability and boost Canada’s housing supply.

“What we are tabling is a strategy to support the industrialization of the sector. And just as last year’s federal budget put forth a made-in-Canada plan for a clean economy to address the climate crisis, we are presenting a made-in-Canada plan for housing supply to address the housing crisis,” CHBA’s CEO, Kevin Lee, explains.

 

“It is important to hear from the home building sector itself”

 

He continues, “There has been a lot of coverage in the media talking about solutions to building more homes, but it is important to hear from the home building sector itself — the very people who know first-hand about the challenges and opportunities, who on a daily basis are experiencing what is and what is not working.”

Lee explains that the association’s Modular Construction Council and site-built members bring “a wealth of expertise to the table on how to actually address the barriers to getting more supply.”

 

What the strategy entails

 

The Sector Transition Strategy is focused on labour, productivity and related recommendations. It emphasizes the need for a full approach to enable more production, starting with financial and policy changes that let more first-time buyers enter the market. This includes 30-year amortization periods for first-time buyers of newly constructed homes (since the proposal only includes new homes, this would hinder demand and create more supply).

The CHBA notes that if Canada fixes the financial and policy barriers and creates an environment conducive to more construction, the industry will be dealing with more extreme labour shortages than they are currently. This means that the country’s immigration system needs changes to attract skilled workers for residential construction, and the current population should be encouraged to pursue careers in skilled trades and support apprenticeship programs.

 

A transition to factory-built construction

 

The association also states that to double housing starts, we need a fundamental shift in how homes are built to increase productivity, given the labour shortage — for instance, with more factory-built construction in the right environment (as factories require high capital investment, high overhead, a steady workforce and steady throughput).

Benefits of factory-built homes include faster construction with fewer delays and less ramp-up in labour.

“The reason we build homes the way we do now is that the sector and its business structures are set up to deal with the boom-and-bust cycles that housing goes through. In order to see a transition to more factory-built systems, government support will be needed initially to substantiate the business case and de-risk the investments,” says Lee.

The Strategy outlines these risks and mitigation ideas to facilitate moving towards more factory-built homes.

 

“CHBA has been engaging with the federal government on the recommendations from this Strategy, and we hope to see support for it moving forward. Canada has a huge housing challenge, but also a huge opportunity — this Strategy outlines how to get there,” Lee concludes.

 

Read the full strategy here.

 

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Ontario making strides in housing supply, urgent action needed to address affordability crisis: OREA https://realestatemagazine.ca/ontario-making-strides-in-housing-supply-urgent-action-needed-to-address-affordability-crisis-orea/ https://realestatemagazine.ca/ontario-making-strides-in-housing-supply-urgent-action-needed-to-address-affordability-crisis-orea/#comments Wed, 07 Feb 2024 05:02:41 +0000 https://realestatemagazine.ca/?p=28385 OREA's latest report highlights progress in Ontario's housing supply efforts, but urgent action is needed to tackle the affordability crisis

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The Ontario Real Estate Association (OREA) recently published its latest policy report, evaluating the progress made by the Government of Ontario in response to recommendations from the Housing Affordability Task Force (HATF) aimed at bolstering Ontario’s housing supply.

 

The goal: 1.5 million new homes by 2031

 

Analysis of Ontario’s Efforts to Boost Housing Supply analyzes the government’s endeavors to boost housing supply and gauges advancements in implementing the 55 recommendations outlined in the HATF’s 2022 report. The overarching goal is to add 1.5 million new homes in Ontario by 2031.

 

How the Province is faring

 

OREA’s analysis revealed that 76 per cent of the 55 recommendations have either been fully implemented (33 per cent) or are in progress (43 per cent). The remaining 13 recommendations have not yet been acted on.

While Ontario has set ambitious goals to tackle the housing affordability crisis and notable progress has been achieved, there remains a pressing need to expedite housing projects and bring more homes to market, OREA notes. Initial legislative reforms were commendable, but recent momentum has slowed due to high interest rates working against these reforms.

 

“Stand up against red tape and municipal NIMBYism”

 

The report calls for the Government of Ontario to “stand up against red tape and municipal NIMBYism, and keep up the momentum to solve the housing affordability crisis and create future generations of homeowners in the province.”

 

Action items to alleviate the housing supply crisis

 

Building on the HATF’s initial recommendations, OREA proposes 10 action items for the province to undertake in 2024, which could significantly and promptly alleviate Ontario’s housing supply crisis, including:

  • Allowing water and wastewater services to be provided through a municipal services corporation, to reduce upfront building costs.
  • Implementing land use changes to eliminate exclusionary zoning and create housing supply in urban areas.
  • Modernizing zoning to facilitate commercial-to-residential conversions and increase density along transit corridors.

 

“The Ford Government must keep its foot on the gas by continuing to champion pro-homeownership policies”

 

“It used to be that every generation had a better shot at owning a home than the last, but the dream of homeownership is slipping away and there is an urgent need to address Ontario’s housing affordability crisis,” OREA CEO, Tim Hudak, says.

The Ford Government must keep its foot on the gas by continuing to champion pro-homeownership policies like the ones that Ontario realtors continue to put on the table. We fully support the Provincial Government resuming, at full speed, their efforts to fulfill our housing ambition and bring affordability closer to home in Ontario.”

 

Read the full report here.

 

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‘Build more homes, faster,’ says Trudeau — how land transactions, housing supply and project feasibility factor https://realestatemagazine.ca/build-more-homes-faster-says-trudeau-how-land-transactions-housing-supply-and-project-feasibility-factor/ https://realestatemagazine.ca/build-more-homes-faster-says-trudeau-how-land-transactions-housing-supply-and-project-feasibility-factor/#comments Mon, 27 Nov 2023 05:03:39 +0000 https://realestatemagazine.ca/?p=25921 Government should reduce charges and taxes wherever possible. This will make housing more affordable and support the viability of prospective housing projects

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Over the last few months, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau spoke repeatedly about a Canadian housing crisis and the need to “build more homes, faster”. The removal of GST on purpose-built rental buildings was a good step, and a tangible manifestation of the political impetus to increase the supply of housing.

 

What’s happening

 

In the residential property market, transaction activity is down 15 per cent nationwide, and more in some markets. However, as my colleague Tony Letvinchuk pointed out in a recent Post Media interview, the transaction volume for residential development land is down much more substantially.

While data is somewhat less available for commercial real estate transactions, reports from Altus Group and others indicate an annualized slowdown in building land sales activity of some 40+ per cent in Toronto and 80+ per cent in Vancouver. This relates to other ongoing challenges to project feasibility faced by builders, including an increase in construction costs of approximately 50+ per cent since 2020, and increased financing costs (resulting from the rise in interest rates).

Increasing costs correspondingly decrease the amount that a developer could pay for a prospective site, contributing to the dramatic decrease in transactions of residential development land.

 

What it means

 

What are the implications of the slowdown in development land activity for the supply of housing? As discussed in a previous article, urban centres like Toronto and Vancouver are already facing rental vacancies in the low single digits.

Plus, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC), Canada’s housing supply is on track to be several million units short of the level required to promote broader affordability. In June 2023, the Canadian population surpassed 40 million. It’s expected to continue to grow, primarily through immigration.

In the context of these factors, the precipitous drop in land sales is worrisome. A typical residential mid-rise project takes approximately five to seven years to complete, from land acquisition to occupancy. If developers aren’t buying land now, then — in the presence of continued population growth — the shortfall in housing supply could very conceivably be worse in a decade than it is today.

 

What can be done

 

So, what can policymakers do? While some factors — for example, the global supply chain of certain construction materials — may be largely outside their influence, the various levels of government do control the fees and taxes levied on development and construction of new homes.

Echoing a similar study in Ontario, a May 2023 report from tax consulting firm Ryan found that direct government fees, levies and charges constitute a staggering 29.25 per cent of a typical new Vancouver condominium’s cost. In other words, government fees make up about $327,000 of the cost of a new $1.12 million housing unit.

 

Instead of further increasing costs — as, for example, Metro Vancouver did in October with a significant “Development Cost Charge” increase — all three levels of government should reduce charges and taxes wherever possible. This will make housing more affordable and support the viability of prospective housing projects.

 

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